Based on its track, Polo's center crossed the coast near 25.92°N 112.18°W (WNW of Loreto Mexico) on September 29, 2026 around 06:12 UTC with maximum sustained winds near 95 kt (109 mph, Category 2). NHC did not issue a formal landfall statement; this is StormTracking's estimate.
Based on its track, Polo's center crossed the coast near 27.91°N 110.74°W (S of Guaymas Mexico) on September 29, 2026 around 16:38 UTC with maximum sustained winds near 65 kt (75 mph, Category 1). NHC did not issue a formal landfall statement; this is StormTracking's estimate.
NHC advisory timeline 38 advisories
#38POLO DISSIPATES OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO
Center 30.5N 108.0W, NE of Guaymas Mexico · Max winds 35 mph · Pressure 996 mb · Moving NE at 23 mph
#37Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 200 PM MST Tue Sep 29 2026 Corrected the Next Advisory section;
Center 29.0N 109.7W, NE of Guaymas Mexico · Max winds 65 mph · Pressure 992 mb · Moving NE at 21 mph
Key messages
Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across northwestern Mexico near the center of Polo through tonight.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will continue to impact the southern and central portions of Sonora today. This rainfall is expected to produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Moisture from Polo will support heavy rainfall and flooding potential across the Southwest U.S. into the Southern High Plains today into early Wednesday.
Even after the surface circulation of Polo dissipates, its low- to mid-level remnants may produce strong gusty winds well inland over the higher terrain of northwest Mexico, southern New Mexico, and far western Texas.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely to persist along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next day or so.
#36POLO ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR GUAYMAS MEXICO; CONDITIONS DETERIORATING IN THE LANDFALL AREA
Center 27.8N 110.9W, S of Guaymas Mexico · Max winds 75 mph · Pressure 981 mb · Moving NE at 17 mph
Key messages
Hurricane conditions are expected in southern Sonora as the center of Polo moves inland, and residents there should remain in a safe shelter through this morning. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions will spread across northwestern Mexico near the center of Polo through this afternoon. A dangerous storm surge is expected at the coast in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact the southern and central portions of Sonora today. This rainfall is expected to produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Moisture from Polo will support heavy rainfall and flooding potential across the Southwest U.S. into the Southern High Plains today into early Wednesday.
Even after Polo dissipates, its low- to mid-level remnants may produce strong gusty winds well inland over the higher terrain of northwest Mexico, southern New Mexico, and far western Texas.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next day or so.
#35POLO LASHING BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING; CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE IN SONORA EARLY THIS MORNING
Center 26.2N 111.9W, WNW of Loreto Mexico · Max winds 80 mph · Pressure 978 mb · Moving NE at 10 mph
Key messages
Polo is still bringing hurricane-force winds to Baja California Sur, and residents there should remain in a safe shelter through this morning. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions will spread into mainland Mexico early today. A dangerous storm surge is expected in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact Baja California Sur along with southern and central portions of Sonora today. This rainfall is expected to produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Moisture from Polo will support heavy rainfall and flooding potential across the Southwest U.S. into the Southern High Plains today into early Wednesday.
Even after Polo dissipates, its mid-level remnants may produce strong gusty winds well inland over the higher terrain of northwest Mexico, southern New Mexico, and far western Texas.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next day or so.
#34POLO ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR; LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING ONGOING
Center 25.9N 112.5W, N of Cabo San Lazaro Mexico · Max winds 115 mph · Pressure 963 mb · Moving NE at 13 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast about to make landfall as a major hurricane on the west coast of the Baja California Peninsula. Residents should remain in a safe shelter. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions will spread into mainland Mexico late tonight and early Tuesday. A dangerous storm surge is expected in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact Baja California Sur along with southern and central portions of Sonora tonight and Tuesday. This rainfall is expected to produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Moisture from Polo will support heavy rainfall and flooding potential across the Southwest U.S. into the Southern High Plains tonight into Tuesday.
Even after Polo dissipates, its mid-level remnants may produce strong gusty winds well inland over the higher terrain of northwest Mexico, southern New Mexico, and far western Texas.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next day or so.
#33NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT POLO IS STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE NEARING THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR; LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING NOW BEGINNING OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
Center 25.0N 113.0W, WNW of Cabo San Lazaro Mexico · Max winds 115 mph · Pressure 963 mb · Moving NE at 12 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to make landfall on the west coast of the Baja California Peninsula near major hurricane strength this evening. Conditions will deteriorate quickly, and residents are urged to seek safe shelter. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions will spread inland across Baja California tonight, and into mainland Mexico late tonight and early Tuesday. A dangerous storm surge is expected in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact Baja California Sur along with southern and central portions of Sonora today into Tuesday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Moisture from Polo will support heavy rainfall and flooding potential across the Southwest U.S. into the Southern High Plains late today into Tuesday.
Even after Polo dissipates, its mid-level remnants may produce strong gusty winds well inland over the higher terrain of northwest Mexico and southern New Mexico and far western Texas.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next day or so.
#32POLO STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA; CONDITIONS TO SOON DETERIORATE AS LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND SONORA TODAY AND TUESDAY
Center 24.2N 113.5W, WSW of Cabo San Lazaro Mexico · Max winds 115 mph · Pressure 958 mb · Moving NE at 10 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to make landfall on the west coast of the Baja California Peninsula near major hurricane strength this evening. Conditions will deteriorate shortly, making preparations difficult. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across Baja California through tonight, and into mainland Mexico late on early Tuesday. A dangerous storm surge is likely in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall from Polo will impact Baja California Sur and southern and central portions of Sonora today into Tuesday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Moisture from Polo will support heavy rainfall and flooding potential across the southwest U.S. into the southern High Plains late today into Tuesday.
Even after Polo dissipates, its mid-level remnants may produce gusty winds well inland over the higher terrain of northwest Mexico and the southwest United States.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next couple of days.
#31LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND SONORA TODAY AND TUESDAY; CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DETERIORATING THIS MORNING IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
Center 23.6N 113.8W, SW of Cabo San Lazaro Mexico · Max winds 115 mph · Pressure 958 mb · Moving NNE at 10 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to make landfall on the west coast of the Baja California Peninsula near major hurricane strength late today, within the Hurricane Warning area. Conditions are expected to begin to deteriorate there this morning, making further preparations difficult. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across Baja California through today through tonight, and into mainland Mexico late tonight into early Tuesday. A storm surge is likely, especially in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact Baja California Sur along with southern and central portions of Sonora today into Tuesday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Moisture from Polo will support heavy rainfall and flooding potential across the Southwest U.S. into the Southern High Plains late today into Tuesday.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next couple of days.
#30POLO HEADED TOWARD THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA; CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DETERIORATE MONDAY MORNING
Center 22.8N 114.0W, W of Cabo San Lucas Mexico · Max winds 125 mph · Pressure 951 mb · Moving N at 12 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to make landfall on the west coast of the Baja California Peninsula as a hurricane late Monday, within the Hurricane Warning area. Conditions are expected to begin to deteriorate there Monday morning, making further preparations difficult. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across Baja California through Monday and into mainland Mexico on early Tuesday. A storm surge is likely, especially in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact Baja California Sur along with southern and central portions of Sonora Monday into Tuesday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Moisture from Polo will support heavy rainfall and flooding potential across the Southwest U.S. into the Southern High Plains late Monday into Tuesday.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next couple of days.
#29NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT POLO REMAINS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE; HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR MAINLAND MEXICO ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST
Center 21.9N 114.1W, WSW of Cabo San Lucas Mexico · Max winds 125 mph · Pressure 951 mb · Moving N at 12 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to approach the west coast of the Baja California peninsula on Monday as a hurricane, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for that region. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the coast as soon as tonight or early Monday, making further preparations difficult. These conditions will likely spread across Baja California through Monday and into mainland Mexico on early Tuesday. A storm surge is likely, especially in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo may begin to impact Baja California Sur later tonight into Tuesday and portions of Sonora late Monday into Tuesday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Moisture from Polo will support heavy rainfall and flooding potential across the Southwest U.S. into the Southern High Plains late Monday into Tuesday.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next few days.
#28POLO A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT TURNS NORTHWARD; PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AS POWERFUL POLO APPROACHES
Center 21.3N 113.9W, WSW of Cabo San Lucas Mexico · Max winds 125 mph · Pressure 949 mb · Moving NNW at 12 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to approach the west coast of the Baja California peninsula on Monday as a hurricane, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for that region. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the coast as soon as tonight or early Monday, making further preparations difficult. These conditions will likely spread across Baja California through Monday. A storm surge is likely, especially in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo may begin to impact Baja California Sur tonight into Tuesday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next few days.
#27NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND MAINLAND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO; PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
Center 20.3N 113.6W, SW of Cabo San Lucas Mexico · Max winds 120 mph · Pressure 952 mb · Moving NNW at 10 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to approach the west coast of the Baja California peninsula on Monday as a hurricane, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for that region. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the coast as soon as tonight or early Monday, making further preparations difficult. These conditions will likely spread across Baja California through Monday. A storm surge is likely, especially in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo may begin to impact Baja California Sur tonight into Tuesday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next few days.
#26NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND POLO IS STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE; HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
Center 19.3N 113.1W, SW of Cabo San Lucas Mexico · Max winds 120 mph · Pressure 949 mb · Moving NW at 10 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to approach the west coast of the Baja California peninsula on Monday as a hurricane, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for that region. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the coast as soon as Sunday night or early Monday, making further preparations difficult. These conditions will likely spread across Baja California through Monday. A storm surge is likely, especially in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo may begin to impact Baja California Sur Sunday night into Tuesday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next several days.
#25POLO TURNS NORTHWESTWARD AS A POWERFUL HURRICANE; FORECAST TO APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR ON MONDAY
Center 18.7N 112.5W, SSW of Cabo San Lucas Mexico · Max winds 145 mph · Pressure 938 mb · Moving NW at 10 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to approach the west coast of the Baja California peninsula on Monday as a hurricane, and a Hurricane Watch is in effect for that region. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the coast as soon as Sunday night or early Monday, making further preparations difficult. A storm surge will be possible, especially in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo may begin to impact Baja California Sur Sunday night into Tuesday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next several days.
#24POLO REMAINS A POWERFUL HURRICANE; EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR ON MONDAY AS A STRONG HURRICANE
Center 17.9N 111.7W, SSW of Cabo San Lucas Mexico · Max winds 155 mph · Pressure 928 mb · Moving WNW at 9 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to approach the west coast of the Baja California peninsula on Monday as a hurricane, and a Hurricane Watch is in effect for that region. Tropical storm conditions could reach portions of the coast as soon as Sunday night or early Monday, making further preparations difficult. A storm surge will be possible, especially in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo may begin to impact Baja California Sur late Sunday into Monday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next several days.
#23POLO REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE; EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR ON MONDAY AS A POWERFUL HURRICANE
Center 17.6N 111.0W, WSW of Cabo Corrientes Mexico · Max winds 165 mph · Pressure 917 mb · Moving WNW at 9 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to approach the west coast of the Baja California peninsula on Monday as a hurricane, and a Hurricane Watch is in effect for that region. Tropical Storm conditions could reach portions of the coast as soon as late Sunday, making further preparations difficult. A storm surge will be possible, especially in areas of onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo may begin to impact Baja California Sur late Sunday into Monday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico and Baja California for the next several days.
#22POLO REMAINS A POWERFUL CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE; HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
Center 17.4N 110.1W, SW of Cabo Corrientes Mexico · Max winds 175 mph · Pressure 911 mb · Moving WNW at 10 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to approach the west coast of the Baja California peninsula on Monday as a hurricane, and a Hurricane Watch is now in effect for that region. Tropical Storm conditions could reach portions of the coast as soon as Sunday, making further preparations difficult. A storm surge will be possible, especially in areas onshore winds.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo may begin to impact Baja California Sur late Sunday into Monday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely along portions of the northwest coast of Mexico for the next several days.
#21NOAA AIRCRAFT MEASURES CATEGORY 5 WINDS IN POLO; INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS
Center 17.2N 109.2W, SW of Cabo Corrientes Mexico · Max winds 180 mph · Pressure 913 mb · Moving W at 10 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to approach the Baja California Peninsula early next week as a hurricane. Interests there should closely monitor the latest updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place. Watches could be required as early as tonight for portions of the area.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo may begin to impact Baja California Sur late Sunday into Monday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
#20POLO IS AN EXTREMELY POWERFUL CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE; INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS
Center 17.1N 108.5W, SW of Cabo Corrientes Mexico · Max winds 180 mph · Pressure 900 mb · Moving W at 12 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to approach the Baja California Peninsula early next week as a hurricane. Interests there should closely monitor the latest updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place. Watches could be required as early as Saturday for portions of the area.
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo may begin to impact Baja California Sur late Sunday into Monday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
#19POLO REGAINS CATEGORY 5 STATUS
Center 17.2N 107.5W, SSW of Cabo Corrientes Mexico · Max winds 160 mph · Pressure 929 mb · Moving W at 12 mph
Key messages
Polo is forecast to approach the Baja California Peninsula early next week as a hurricane. Interests there should closely monitor the latest updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place.
#18POLO EXPECTED TO REGAIN CATEGORY 5 STATUS ON FRIDAY
Center 17.1N 106.5W, SW of Manzanillo Mexico · Max winds 150 mph · Pressure 935 mb · Moving W at 12 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through the evening. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Wind gusts to tropical storm force may still occur along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico this evening.
Polo is forecast to approach the Baja California Peninsula early next week as a hurricane. Interests there should closely monitor the latest updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place.
#17NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT POLO'S WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH
Center 17.1N 105.5W, SSW of Manzanillo Mexico · Max winds 150 mph · Pressure 935 mb · Moving WNW at 10 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico today. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Wind gusts to tropical storm force may occur along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico this evening.
Polo is forecast to approach the Baja California Peninsula early next week as a hurricane. Interests there should closely monitor the latest updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place.
#16POLO STARTING TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
Center 16.8N 104.4W, WSW of Zihuatanejo Mexico · Max winds 155 mph · Pressure 928 mb · Moving WNW at 10 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico today. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the coast within the warning area from Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo for a few more hours.
Polo is forecast to approach the Baja California Peninsula early next week as a hurricane. Interests there should closely monitor the latest updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place.
#15OUTER RAINBANDS OF EXTREMELY POWERFUL CATEGORY 5 POLO SPREADING ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
Center 16.5N 103.5W, WSW of Zihuatanejo Mexico · Max winds 160 mph · Pressure 923 mb · Moving NW at 9 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico today. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the coast within the warning area from Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo today.
Polo is forecast to approach the Baja California Peninsula early next week as a hurricane. Interests there should closely monitor the latest updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place.
#14EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE POLO MOVING SLOWLY OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO; HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE OF GUERRERO
Center 16.0N 102.4W, SSW of Zihuatanejo Mexico · Max winds 160 mph · Pressure 923 mb · Moving NW at 6 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across portions of the coast within the warning area from Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo tonight into early Thursday.
#13POLO NOW MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHWEST; OUTER RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COAST OF MEXICO
Center 15.7N 102.4W, SSW of Zihuatanejo Mexico · Max winds 145 mph · Pressure 932 mb · Moving NW at 7 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for portions of southwestern Mexico from Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo, and a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect west of that to Playa Perula. Interests in these areas should closely monitor updates to the forecast.
#12POLO NOW MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD
Center 15.4N 101.8W, S of Zihuatanejo Mexico · Max winds 150 mph · Pressure 927 mb · Moving NW at 5 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for portions of southwestern Mexico, and a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect westward to Playa Perula. Interests in these areas should closely monitor updates to the forecast.
#11
Center 15.0N 101.4W, S of Zihuatanejo Mexico · Max winds 155 mph · Pressure 918 mb · Moving N at 2 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for portions of southwestern Mexico, and a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect westward to Playa Perula. Interests in these areas should closely monitor updates to the forecast.
#10POLO CONTINUES DRIFTING SLOWLY AS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE
Center 14.7N 101.3W, S of Zihuatanejo Mexico · Max winds 165 mph · Pressure 905 mb · Moving NE at 1 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for portions of southwestern Mexico, and the Tropical Storm Watch is in effect westward to Playa Perula. Interests in these areas should closely monitor updates to the forecast.
#9POLO EXPECTED TO REMAIN AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
Center 14.6N 101.5W, S of Zihuatanejo Mexico · Max winds 180 mph · Pressure 892 mb · Moving STATIONARY
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for portions of southwestern Mexico, and the Tropical Storm Watch is in effect westward to Playa Perula. Interests in these areas should closely monitor updates to the forecast.
#8POLO IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE; EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
Center 14.7N 101.6W, S of Zihuatanejo Mexico · Max winds 165 mph · Pressure 920 mb · Moving N at 2 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for portions of southwestern Mexico, and the Tropical Storm Watch has been extended westward along the coast. Interests in these areas should closely monitor updates to the forecast.
#7POLO CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND IS APPROACHING CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH; EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
Center 14.6N 101.8W, S of Zihuatanejo Mexico · Max winds 150 mph · Pressure 935 mb · Moving ESE at 6 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Although the core of the hurricane is forecast to remain offshore of southwestern Mexico, it is too soon to determine the exact location and magnitude of impacts. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for portions of southwestern Mexico, and interests in these areas should closely monitor updates to the forecast.
#6POLO STILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AND FORECAST TO BECOME A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE TOMORROW; TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO MANZANILLO
Center 15.0N 102.3W, SSE of Manzanillo Mexico · Max winds 110 mph · Pressure 964 mb · Moving ESE at 5 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Polo is forecast to strengthen to a major hurricane while it moves closer to the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Although the core of the hurricane is forecast to stay offshore, it is too soon to determine the exact location or magnitude of impacts. Residents in southwestern Mexico should closely monitor its progress and updates to the forecast. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for portions of southwestern Mexico and has been extended to Manzanillo.
#5NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SHOWS POLO RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING
Center 15.1N 102.7W, SSE of Manzanillo Mexico · Max winds 85 mph · Pressure 974 mb · Moving ESE at 6 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Polo is forecast to strengthen to a major hurricane while it moves closer to the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Although the core of the hurricane is forecast to stay offshore, it is too soon to determine the exact location or magnitude of impacts. Residents in southwestern Mexico should closely monitor its progress and updates to the forecast. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for portions of southwestern Mexico.
#4POLO RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING OFFSHORE OF MEXICO
Center 15.4N 103.4W, SSE of Manzanillo Mexico · Max winds 65 mph · Pressure 997 mb · Moving E at 5 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Polo is forecast to strengthen to a major hurricane while it moves closer to the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Although the core of the hurricane is forecast to stay offshore, it is too soon to determine the exact location or magnitude of impacts. Residents in southwestern Mexico should closely monitor its progress and updates to the forecast. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for portions of southwestern Mexico.
#3POLO EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY; TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
Center 15.5N 103.8W, S of Manzanillo Mexico · Max winds 45 mph · Pressure 1003 mb · Moving NE at 8 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico this week. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Polo is forecast to strengthen to a major hurricane while it moves closer to the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Although the core of the hurricane is forecast to stay offshore, it is too soon to determine the exact location or magnitude of impacts. Residents in southwestern Mexico should closely monitor its progress and updates to the forecast. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for portions of southwestern Mexico.
#2DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM POLO; FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE
Center 15.1N 104.6W, S of Manzanillo Mexico · Max winds 40 mph · Pressure 1004 mb · Moving ENE at 5 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Polo will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico this week. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Tropical Storm Polo is forecast to strengthen and move closer to the southwestern Mexican coast as a major hurricane later this week. Although it is too soon to determine the exact location or magnitude of impacts associated with the system, interests in Mexico should closely monitor its progress and updates to the forecast.
#1NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO
Center 14.9N 104.9W, S of Manzanillo Mexico · Max winds 35 mph · Pressure 1007 mb · Moving NNE at 8 mph
Key messages
Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Depression 17-E will impact coastal portions of southwest Mexico this week. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Tropical Depression 17-E is forecast to strengthen and move closer to the southwestern Mexican coast as a major hurricane later this week. Although it is too soon to determine the exact location or magnitude of impacts associated with the system, interest in Mexico should closely monitor its progress and updates to the forecast.
Polo peaked at 155 knots (178 mph) — Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, with a minimum central pressure of 892 mb.
When was Hurricane Polo active?
Polo was a tracked system from 2026-09-20 to 2026-09-30 in the East Pacific basin.
Did Polo make landfall?
Yes — 2 landfalls. Based on its track, Polo's center crossed the coast near 25.92°N 112.18°W (WNW of Loreto Mexico) on September 29, 2026 around 06:12 UTC with maximum sustained winds near 95 kt (109 mph, Category 2). NHC did not issue a formal landfall statement; this is StormTracking's estimate. Based on its track, Polo's center crossed the coast near 27.91°N 110.74°W (S of Guaymas Mexico) on September 29, 2026 around 16:38 UTC with maximum sustained winds near 65 kt (75 mph, Category 1). NHC did not issue a formal landfall statement; this is StormTracking's estimate.