Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 90% development odds
Issued Sep 29, 2026 at 05:20 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 23 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 29.3 by this date.
No changes in tracked areas since the previous issuance.
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91) 48h 90% 7-day 90%
1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91): Showers and thunderstorms are limited and disorganized in association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Although the system has lost some organization today, it is still expected to become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it drifts northeastward. Environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development late this week. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 290519
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fay, located well to the west-southwest of the Azores,
and on Tropical Storm Hanna, located well to the east-northeast of
Bermuda.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Hanna are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Hanna are issued under WMO
header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
$$
Forecaster Pierce/Pasch
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 290520
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 28 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Polo, near the Baja California Peninsula of Mexico, on
Hurricane Nolo, located several hundred miles west-southwest of
Honolulu, Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Rachel, located few hundred
miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.
Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms are limited and disorganized in
association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast
of the Hawaiian Islands. Although the system has lost some
organization today, it is still expected to become a tropical
depression during the next day or two while it drifts northeastward.
Environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for
development late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pierce/Pasch
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Sep 29, 2026 at 11:26 UTC
1 area · ≤90%
Sep 29, 2026 at 05:20 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤90%
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Sep 26, 2026 at 23:14 UTC
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