Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 90% development odds
Issued Sep 28, 2026 at 17:36 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 23 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 28.9 by this date.
- No longer tracked: 1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL91) (Atlantic)
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91) 48h 90% 7-day 90%
1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91): A broad area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to become better organized. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form later today or tomorrow. The system should move generally northeastward and remain well east of the Hawaiian Islands. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 281736
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fay, located well to the west-southwest of the Azores and
on newly formed Tropical Storm Hanna, located well to the
east-northeast of Bermuda.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Hanna are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Hanna are issued under WMO
header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281144
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Sep 28 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Polo, located about 100 miles southwest of Cabo San Lazaro, Mexico,
on Hurricane Nolo, located a few hundred miles southwest of the main
Hawaiian Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rachel, located a few
hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.
Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the
Hawaiian Islands continues to become better organized. Environmental
conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression is expected to form later today or tomorrow. The system
should move generally northeastward and remain well east of the
Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
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