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Live tracking · Tropical Weather Outlook · Sep 28, 2026 at 17:36 UTC

Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 90% development odds

Issued Sep 28, 2026 at 17:36 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours

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StormTracking analysis

The 2026 season has produced 23 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 28.9 by this date.

Development areas (1)

Eastern Pacific 1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91) 48h 90% 7-day 90%

1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91): A broad area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to become better organized. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form later today or tomorrow. The system should move generally northeastward and remain well east of the Hawaiian Islands. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Official NHC text — Atlantic

en Español 000 ABNT20 KNHC 281736 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fay, located well to the west-southwest of the Azores and on newly formed Tropical Storm Hanna, located well to the east-northeast of Bermuda. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Hanna are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Hanna are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Papin

Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.

Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific

en Español 000 ABPZ20 KNHC 281144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Sep 28 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Polo, located about 100 miles southwest of Cabo San Lazaro, Mexico, on Hurricane Nolo, located a few hundred miles southwest of the main Hawaiian Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rachel, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91): A broad area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to become better organized. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form later today or tomorrow. The system should move generally northeastward and remain well east of the Hawaiian Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Adams

Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.

Recent issuances

Sep 28, 2026 at 17:36 UTC — viewing 1 area · ≤90% Sep 28, 2026 at 11:16 UTC 2 areas · ≤90% Sep 28, 2026 at 05:31 UTC 2 areas · ≤90% Sep 27, 2026 at 23:05 UTC 2 areas · ≤80% Sep 27, 2026 at 17:26 UTC 2 areas · ≤80% Sep 27, 2026 at 11:25 UTC 3 areas · ≤90% Sep 27, 2026 at 05:27 UTC 3 areas · ≤90% Sep 26, 2026 at 23:14 UTC 3 areas · ≤90% Sep 26, 2026 at 17:22 UTC 2 areas · ≤90% Sep 26, 2026 at 11:46 UTC 2 areas · ≤90% Sep 26, 2026 at 05:29 UTC 2 areas · ≤90% Sep 25, 2026 at 23:41 UTC 2 areas · ≤90%