Severe weather outlook: no organized severe threat

SPC AC 070559 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1159 PM CST Fri Nov 06 2026 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today and tonight. ...Synopsis... An upper cyclone and attendant trough will pivot east/northeast across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast states today. In the wake of the trough, a surface low will deepen off the coast of New England. A strong surface cold front will move offshore with the low into the Atlantic and Gulf waters early this morning. Isolated elevated thunderstorms may occur with warm air advection ahead of the upper cyclone across New England, though severe storms are not expected. Along southern portions of the front near the Gulf Coast, additional showers and thunderstorms are expected across portions of southern/central TX. An upper cyclone moving out of northern MX will bolster isentropic ascent behind the southward moving front supporting scattered elevated thunderstorms. Instability will remain meager and not supportive of severe storms. Elsewhere, surface high pressure and offshore flow will favor dry and stable conditions over the majority of the CONUS. The only exception may be across the Olympic Peninsula where shallow convection ahead of another upper trough may allow for a few lightning strikes overnight. ..Lyons/Halbert-K.. 11/07/2026 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z