Severe weather outlook: no organized severe threat

SPC AC 070054 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 PM CST Fri Nov 06 2026 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery showed an upper low over the eastern Great Lakes continuing to drift eastward this evening. Gradual amplification of this system is expected through tonight as it moves toward the coast and merges with a less pronounced shortwave trough crossing the southern Appalachians and Southeast. At the surface, a cold front has largely moved offshore, limiting the effective warm sector. Still, very weak elevated buoyancy may remain in place this evening over Cape Hatteras and portions of the New England coast. Isolated lightning strikes remain possible for a few more hours. Severe potential is negligible. ...AZ... A second upper low over the Desert Southwest is supporting isolated thunderstorms across parts of AZ and northern MX this evening. Cool mid-level temperatures near the center of the low are aiding a steep lapse-rate and marginally unstable environment. This may continue through the first part of the overnight period before the upper low shifts south of the international border and more stable conditions develop. Weak buoyancy and vertical shear will preclude a severe risk. ..Lyons.. 11/07/2026 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z