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Live tracking · Severe weather outlook · Nov 5, 2026 at 16:10 UTC

Severe weather outlook: no organized severe threat

SPC Day 1 outlook issued Nov 5, 2026 at 16:10 UTC · forecaster Hart/Supinie

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StormTracking analysis

Severe weather outlook: no organized severe threat.

No state-level risk changes since the previous issuance.

Day 1 — General thunderstorms

TSTM AL, CT, DC, DE, FL, GA, KS, MA, MD, ME, NC, NH, NJ, NY +8 more
Official SPC discussion
SPC AC 051610 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1010 AM CST Thu Nov 05 2026 Valid 051630Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are unlikely today and tonight. ...Mid Atlantic to southern New England... Broad southwesterly flow aloft is present today over the eastern states, with a moist surface air mass in place along and east of the Appalachians. Forcing will be weak through the day, but an approaching upper trough over the central US will result in increasing thunderstorm potential after dark - especially from the Mid Atlantic region northward into southern New England. Strong winds aloft will result in fast-moving storms, but nocturnal cooling will limit surface-based convective threat and the overall risk of damaging winds. Nevertheless, an occasional storm could pose some concern for gusty winds. ...KS/OK... A mid-level shortwave trough and associated pocket of cold mid-level air will result in steep lapse rates and scattered afternoon thunderstorms over parts of southern KS and northern OK. ..Hart/Supinie.. 11/05/2026 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z

Source: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center (public domain). State breakdown & analysis © StormTracking.

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