Tropical Weather Outlook: 2 areas being monitored, up to 20% development odds
Issued Nov 7, 2026 at 23:20 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 31 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.7 by this date.
- Odds lowered for 1. Eastern East Pacific (Eastern Pacific): 30% → 20%
Development areas (2)
Atlantic
1. Western and Central Atlantic (AL94) 48h 10% 7-day 10%
1. Western and Central Atlantic (AL94): A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicates a sharpening frontal structure is associated with this system. The low could still briefly acquire some subtropical characteristics through tonight, though this scenario appears to be trending less likely. The low is forecast to move generally eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropi
Eastern Pacific
1. Eastern East Pacific 48h 20% 7-day 20%
1. Eastern East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Recent satellite wind data indicates this system remains weak and disorganized. Some development is possible over the next day or two, but unfavorable environmental conditions should end formation chances early next week. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring areas of heavy rain to portions of Central America through the weekend while it drifts northward. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 071725
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sat Nov 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic (AL94):
A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicates a
sharpening frontal structure is associated with this system. The low
could still briefly acquire some subtropical characteristics through
tonight, though this scenario appears to be trending less likely.
The low is forecast to move generally eastward over the western and
central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days and
become absorbed by a new non-tropical low pressure system to its
east early next week. Regardless, gale-force winds are likely over
parts of the central subtropical Atlantic through the weekend. For
more information, including Gale Warnings, see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Mahoney
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 072320
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 PM PST Sat Nov 7 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Pena, located several hundred miles south-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii.
Eastern East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some development is possible over the next day or so
while the system drifts northward. Regardless of development, this
system is expected to bring areas of heavy rain to portions of
Central America this weekend. Thereafter, unfavorable environmental
conditions should end formation chances early next week as the
system turns westward and moves away from land.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
$$
Forecaster Adams
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Nov 7, 2026 at 23:20 UTC — viewing
2 areas · ≤20%
Nov 7, 2026 at 17:25 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 7, 2026 at 11:36 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 7, 2026 at 05:26 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 6, 2026 at 23:57 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 6, 2026 at 17:25 UTC
3 areas · ≤90%
Nov 6, 2026 at 11:28 UTC
3 areas · ≤90%
Nov 6, 2026 at 05:09 UTC
3 areas · ≤90%
Nov 5, 2026 at 23:44 UTC
3 areas · ≤90%
Nov 5, 2026 at 17:42 UTC
3 areas · ≤90%
Nov 5, 2026 at 11:46 UTC
3 areas · ≤80%
Nov 5, 2026 at 05:02 UTC
3 areas · ≤70%