Tropical Weather Outlook: 3 areas being monitored, up to 90% development odds
Issued Nov 6, 2026 at 05:09 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 30 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.6 by this date.
No changes in tracked areas since the previous issuance.
Development areas (3)
Atlantic
1. Western and Central Atlantic 48h 30% 7-day 40%
1. Western and Central Atlantic: A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred miles south of Bermuda is producing disorganized convection. Environmental conditions could allow this system to acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic. By late this weekend, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for further development. While a new non- tropical low could form from the remnants of the current low or to its east early next week, environmental condition
Eastern Pacific
1. Eastern Central Pacific (CP95) 48h 90% 7-day 90%
1. Eastern Central Pacific (CP95): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continue to show signs of organization, though recent satellite wind data indicate the system lacks a well-defined center. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to develop by early Friday. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward to westward at 10 to 15 mph, passing well south of the Hawaiian Islands. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90
Eastern Pacific
2. Eastern East Pacific 48h 40% 7-day 40%
2. Eastern East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure offshore of Central America is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that remain disorganized. Gradual development of this system is still possible during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression could form by this weekend while the low drifts slowly offshore of the Central America coast. Regardless of development, this system could bring areas of heavy rain to portions of Central America through this weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 perce
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
614
ABNT20 KNHC 060509
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic:
A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles south of Bermuda is producing an area of cloudiness and
showers. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics
during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward over
the western and central subtropical Atlantic. By late this weekend,
upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for further
development. While a new non-tropical low could form from the
remnants of the current low early next week, environmental
conditions are unlikely to support significant development.
Regardless, gale-force winds are likely over parts of the central
subtropical Atlantic through the weekend. For more information,
including Gale Warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Blake
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 060508
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Thu Nov 5 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Eastern Central Pacific (CP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located several hundred miles to the southeast of the Big Island of
Hawaii continue to show signs of organization. Environmental
conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical
depression is expected to develop on Friday. The system is
forecast to move west-northwestward to westward at 10 to 15 mph,
passing well south of the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Eastern East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure offshore of Central America is
producing a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. A
tropical depression could still form over the weekend while the low
drifts slowly offshore. Upper-level winds should prevent further
development after the weekend. This system could bring areas of
heavy rain to portions of Central America through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
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