Tropical Weather Outlook: 3 areas being monitored, up to 90% development odds
Issued Nov 6, 2026 at 17:25 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 30 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.6 by this date.
- New area in the Atlantic: 1. Western and Central Atlantic (AL94) — 10% 7-day odds
- No longer tracked: 1. Western and Central Atlantic (Atlantic)
Development areas (3)
Atlantic
1. Western and Central Atlantic (AL94) 48h 10% 7-day 10%
1. Western and Central Atlantic (AL94): A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles south of Bermuda is producing limited shower activity. The chances of this low acquiring subtropical characteristics are decreasing due to strong upper-level winds that are expected to persist over the system into the weekend. The low is forecast to move generally eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical low pressure system to its east later this weekend. Regardless, gale-force winds are likely over par
Eastern Pacific
1. Eastern Central Pacific (CP95) 48h 90% 7-day 90%
1. Eastern Central Pacific (CP95): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located several hundred miles to the southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to develop later today or on Saturday. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward to westward at 10 to 15 mph, passing well south of the Hawaiian Islands. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Eastern Pacific
2. Eastern East Pacific 48h 40% 7-day 40%
2. Eastern East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure located offshore of Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. A tropical depression could form over the weekend while the low drifts slowly offshore. Thereafter, upper-level winds should prevent any further development. This system could bring areas of heavy rain to portions of Central America through the weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 061725
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Fri Nov 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic (AL94):
A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles south
of Bermuda is producing limited shower activity. The chances of this
low acquiring subtropical characteristics are decreasing due to
strong upper-level winds that are expected to persist over the
system into the weekend. The low is forecast to move generally
eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during
the next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical
low pressure system to its east later this weekend. Regardless,
gale-force winds are likely over parts of the central subtropical
Atlantic through the weekend. For more information, including Gale
Warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061128
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 AM PST Fri Nov 6 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Eastern Central Pacific (CP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
located several hundred miles to the southeast of the Big Island of
Hawaii continue to show signs of organization. Environmental
conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical
depression is expected to develop later today or on Saturday. The
system is forecast to move west-northwestward to westward at 10 to
15 mph, passing well south of the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Eastern East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of Central America is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. A tropical
depression could form over the weekend while the low drifts slowly
offshore. Thereafter, upper-level winds should prevent any further
development. This system could bring areas of heavy rain to portions
of Central America through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
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