Tropical Weather Outlook: 2 areas being monitored, up to 30% development odds
Issued Nov 6, 2026 at 23:57 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 31 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.7 by this date.
- New area in the Eastern Pacific: 1. Eastern East Pacific — 30% 7-day odds
- No longer tracked: 1. Eastern Central Pacific (CP95) (Eastern Pacific)
- No longer tracked: 2. Eastern East Pacific (Eastern Pacific)
Development areas (2)
Atlantic
1. Western and Central Atlantic (AL94) 48h 10% 7-day 10%
1. Western and Central Atlantic (AL94): A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles south of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The low could still acquire some subtropical characteristics through Saturday before upper-level winds increase on Sunday. The low is forecast to move generally eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical low pressure system to its east early next week. Regardless, gale-force winds are likely over parts of the central subtropical Atlanti
Eastern Pacific
1. Eastern East Pacific 48h 30% 7-day 30%
1. Eastern East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure located offshore of Central America continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further development through the weekend, but strong upper-level winds are forecast to end formation chances early next week. However, this system is expected to bring areas of heavy rain to portions of Central America through the weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 062353
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Fri Nov 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic (AL94):
A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles south
of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The
low could still acquire some subtropical characteristics through
Saturday before upper-level winds increase on Sunday. The low is
forecast to move generally eastward over the western and central
subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days and become
absorbed by a new non-tropical low pressure system to its east early
next week. Regardless, gale-force winds are likely over parts of the
central subtropical Atlantic through the weekend. For more
information, including Gale Warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued
by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Pierce/Blake
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
149
ABPZ20 KNHC 062357
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 PM PST Fri Nov 6 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Storm Pena, located several hundred miles southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii.
Eastern East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of Central America
continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further
development through the weekend, but strong upper-level winds are
forecast to end formation chances early next week. However, this
system is expected to bring areas of heavy rain to portions of
Central America through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Pena are issued under
WMO header WTPA34 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Pena are issued under
WMO header WTPA24 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTCMCP4.
$$
Forecaster Evans/Blake
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
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