Tropical Weather Outlook: 2 areas being monitored, up to 30% development odds
Issued Nov 7, 2026 at 05:26 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 31 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.7 by this date.
No changes in tracked areas since the previous issuance.
Development areas (2)
Atlantic
1. Western and Central Atlantic (AL94) 48h 10% 7-day 10%
1. Western and Central Atlantic (AL94): A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The low could still acquire some subtropical characteristics through tonight before upper-level winds increase on Sunday. The low is forecast to move generally eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical low pressure system to its east early next week. Regardless, gale-force winds are likely over parts of the central subtropica
Eastern Pacific
1. Eastern East Pacific 48h 30% 7-day 30%
1. Eastern East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure located offshore of Central America continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further development through Sunday, but strong upper-level winds are forecast to end formation chances early next week. However, this system is expected to bring areas of heavy rain to portions of Central America through the weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 070525
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic (AL94):
A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. The low could still acquire some subtropical
characteristics through tonight before upper-level winds increase
on Sunday. The low is forecast to move generally eastward over the
western and central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of
days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical low pressure system
to its east early next week. Regardless, gale-force winds are
likely over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic through the
weekend. For more information, including Gale Warnings, see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Beven
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 070526
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Fri Nov 6 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Pena, located several hundred miles south-southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii.
Eastern East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of Central America
continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further
development through Sunday, but strong upper-level winds are
forecast to end formation chances early next week. However, this
system is expected to bring areas of heavy rain to portions of
Central America through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Pena are issued under
WMO header WTPA34 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Pena are issued under
WMO header WTPA24 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTCMCP4.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Nov 7, 2026 at 05:26 UTC — viewing
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 6, 2026 at 23:57 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 6, 2026 at 17:25 UTC
3 areas · ≤90%
Nov 6, 2026 at 11:28 UTC
3 areas · ≤90%
Nov 6, 2026 at 05:09 UTC
3 areas · ≤90%
Nov 5, 2026 at 23:44 UTC
3 areas · ≤90%
Nov 5, 2026 at 17:42 UTC
3 areas · ≤90%
Nov 5, 2026 at 11:46 UTC
3 areas · ≤80%
Nov 5, 2026 at 05:02 UTC
3 areas · ≤70%
Nov 4, 2026 at 23:30 UTC
3 areas · ≤70%
Nov 4, 2026 at 17:32 UTC
3 areas · ≤70%
Nov 4, 2026 at 11:49 UTC
3 areas · ≤70%