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Live tracking · Tropical Weather Outlook · Nov 6, 2026 at 11:28 UTC

Tropical Weather Outlook: 3 areas being monitored, up to 90% development odds

Issued Nov 6, 2026 at 11:28 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours

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StormTracking analysis

The 2026 season has produced 30 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.6 by this date.

Development areas (3)

Atlantic 1. Western and Central Atlantic 48h 20% 7-day 30%

1. Western and Central Atlantic: A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred miles south of Bermuda is producing an area of cloudiness and showers. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic. By late this weekend, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for further development. While a new non-tropical low could form from the remnants of the current low early next week, environmental conditions are unlikely to support significant de

Eastern Pacific 1. Eastern Central Pacific (CP95) 48h 90% 7-day 90%

1. Eastern Central Pacific (CP95): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to develop on Friday. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward to westward at 10 to 15 mph, passing well south of the Hawaiian Islands. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Eastern Pacific 2. Eastern East Pacific 48h 40% 7-day 40%

2. Eastern East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure offshore of Central America is producing a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. A tropical depression could still form over the weekend while the low drifts slowly offshore. Upper-level winds should prevent further development after the weekend. This system could bring areas of heavy rain to portions of Central America through the weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Official NHC text — Atlantic

en Español 614 ABNT20 KNHC 060509 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Western and Central Atlantic: A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred miles south of Bermuda is producing an area of cloudiness and showers. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next couple of days while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic. By late this weekend, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for further development. While a new non-tropical low could form from the remnants of the current low early next week, environmental conditions are unlikely to support significant development. Regardless, gale-force winds are likely over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic through the weekend. For more information, including Gale Warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Blake

Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.

Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific

en Español 000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061128 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 AM PST Fri Nov 6 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Eastern Central Pacific (CP95): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located several hundred miles to the southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to develop later today or on Saturday. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward to westward at 10 to 15 mph, passing well south of the Hawaiian Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Eastern East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure located offshore of Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. A tropical depression could form over the weekend while the low drifts slowly offshore. Thereafter, upper-level winds should prevent any further development. This system could bring areas of heavy rain to portions of Central America through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Adams

Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.

Recent issuances

Nov 6, 2026 at 17:25 UTC 3 areas · ≤90% Nov 6, 2026 at 11:28 UTC — viewing 3 areas · ≤90% Nov 6, 2026 at 05:09 UTC 3 areas · ≤90% Nov 5, 2026 at 23:44 UTC 3 areas · ≤90% Nov 5, 2026 at 17:42 UTC 3 areas · ≤90% Nov 5, 2026 at 11:46 UTC 3 areas · ≤80% Nov 5, 2026 at 05:02 UTC 3 areas · ≤70% Nov 4, 2026 at 23:30 UTC 3 areas · ≤70% Nov 4, 2026 at 17:32 UTC 3 areas · ≤70% Nov 4, 2026 at 11:49 UTC 3 areas · ≤70% Nov 4, 2026 at 05:02 UTC 3 areas · ≤70% Nov 3, 2026 at 23:10 UTC 3 areas · ≤70%