Based on its track, Rachel's center crossed the coast near 31.4°N 116.5°W (SSE of San Diego California) on October 11, 2026 around 05:47 UTC with maximum sustained winds near 50 kt (58 mph, tropical storm). NHC did not issue a formal landfall statement; this is StormTracking's estimate.
NHC advisory timeline 58 advisories
#58REMNANTS OF RACHEL BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES; THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM
Center 35.8N 114.6W, NNE of San Diego California · Max winds 35 mph · Pressure 994 mb · Moving NNE at 29 mph
Key messages
Damaging wind gusts, especially in areas of higher terrain, are forecast to spread farther inland over interior portions of the southwestern United States today. High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories are in effect across the southwestern United States.
Areas of heavy rainfall from the remnants of Rachel and its associated moisture will continue to result in the potential for significant flash and urban flooding today from Southern California into the Great Basin and portions of the Southwest United States.
Waves generated by Rachel, combined with an incoming long-period southerly swell, will produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the coasts of Southern California and northern Baja California. Major coastal flooding has already been occurring in some areas, with observed water levels running as much as 1.5 feet above predictions. Coastal flooding and erosion are expected to worsen this morning as the highest waves associated with Rachel coincide with high tides and already elevated water levels. Hazardous coastal conditions are expected to continue the next few days. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#57RACHEL CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
Center 32.9N 116.1W, N of Punta Baja Mexico · Max winds 50 mph · Pressure 990 mb · Moving N at 25 mph
Key messages
Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of northern Baja California and portions of northwestern Mexico, where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in eastern Baja California, and portions of northwestern Mexico where Tropical Storm Watches are in effect.
Damaging wind gusts, especially in areas of higher terrain, are forecast to spread farther inland over portions of northwestern Mexico and interior portions of the southwestern United States today.
Heavy rains from the post tropical remnants of Rachel will continue to spread from the northern Baja Peninsula into Southern California, the Great Basin and portions of the southwestern United States. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and for the potential for significant flash and urban flooding today.
Waves generated by Rachel, combined with an incoming long-period southerly swell, will produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the coasts of Southern California and northern Baja California. Major coastal flooding has already been occurring in some areas, with observed water levels running as much as 1.5 feet above predictions. Coastal flooding and erosion are expected to worsen this morning as the highest waves associated with Rachel coincide with high tides and already elevated water levels. Hazardous coastal conditions are expected to continue into early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#56.HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES TONIGHT
Center 31.5N 116.5W, SSE of San Diego California · Max winds 60 mph · Pressure 987 mb · Moving NNE at 36 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to make landfall along the coast of northern Baja California later tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of northern Baja California and portions of northwestern Mexico, where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in extreme Southern California, eastern Baja California, and portions of northwestern Mexico where Tropical Storm Watches are in effect.
Damaging wind gusts associated with Rachel and its remnants are expected to spread over portions of northwestern Mexico and interior portions of the Southwest United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, tonight and Sunday.
Rachel and its moisture will continue to spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and for the potential for significant flash and urban flooding this weekend.
Waves generated by Rachel, combined with an incoming long-period southerly swell, will produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the coasts of Southern California and northern Baja California. Major coastal flooding has already been occurring in some areas, with observed water levels running as much as 1.5 feet above predictions. Coastal flooding and erosion are expected to worsen tonight into Sunday morning as the highest waves associated with Rachel coincide with high tides and already elevated water levels. Hazardous coastal conditions are expected to continue into early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#55RACHEL STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY WHILE QUICKLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD; TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THIS EVENING
Center 27.0N 118.3W, SW of Punta Baja Mexico · Max winds 65 mph · Pressure 989 mb · Moving NNE at 30 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to make landfall along the coast of northern Baja California at tropical storm strength tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of Baja California and northern Baja California Sur, Mexico, where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in extreme Southern California, eastern Baja California, and portions of northwestern Mexico where Tropical Storm Watches are in effect.
Damaging wind gusts associated with Rachel and its remnants are expected to spread over portions of northwestern Mexico and interior portions of the Southwest United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, tonight and Sunday.
Rachel and its moisture will continue to spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and for the potential for significant flash and urban flooding this weekend.
Waves generated by Rachel, combined with an incoming long-period southerly swell, will produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the coasts of Southern California and northern Baja California. Major coastal flooding has already been occurring in some areas, with observed water levels running as much as 1.5 feet above predictions. Coastal flooding and erosion are expected to worsen tonight into Sunday morning as the highest waves associated with Rachel coincide with high tides and already elevated water levels. Hazardous coastal conditions are expected to continue into early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#54TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY THIS EVENING
Center 25.5N 119.6W, SW of Punta Baja Mexico · Max winds 60 mph · Pressure 992 mb · Moving NE at 22 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach and move ashore along the coast of northern Baja California at tropical storm strength tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of Baja California and northern Baja California Sur, Mexico, where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in extreme Southern California, eastern Baja California, and portions of northwestern Mexico where Tropical Storm Watches are in effect.
Damaging wind gusts associated with Rachel and its remnants are expected to spread over portions of northwestern Mexico and interior portions of the Southwest United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, tonight and Sunday.
Rachel and its moisture will continue to spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and for the potential for significant flash and urban flooding this weekend.
Waves generated by Rachel, combined with an incoming long-period southerly swell, will produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the coasts of Southern California and northern Baja California. Major coastal flooding has already been occurring in some areas, with observed water levels running as much as 1.5 feet above predictions. Coastal flooding and erosion are expected to worsen tonight into Sunday morning as the highest waves associated with Rachel coincide with high tides and already elevated water levels. Hazardous coastal conditions are expected to continue into early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#53RACHEL HOLDING STEADY WHILE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD
Center 24.2N 121.4W, SSW of San Diego California · Max winds 60 mph · Pressure 992 mb · Moving NE at 22 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach and move ashore along the coast of northern Baja California or extreme Southern California at tropical storm strength tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of northern Baja California, Mexico, where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in extreme Southern California, eastern Baja California, and portions of northwestern Mexico where Tropical Storm Watches are in effect.
Damaging wind gusts associated with Rachel and its remnants are expected to spread over portions of northwestern Mexico and interior portions of the Southwest United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, tonight and Sunday.
Rachel and its moisture will spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula through this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and for the potential for significant flash and urban flooding.
Waves generated by Rachel, combined with an incoming long-period southerly swell, will produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the coasts of Southern California and northern Baja California. Major coastal flooding has already been occurring in some areas, with observed water levels running as much as 1.5 feet above predictions. Coastal flooding and erosion are expected to worsen tonight into Sunday morning as the highest waves associated with Rachel coincide with high tides and already elevated water levels. Hazardous coastal conditions are expected to continue into early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#52TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
Center 23.8N 123.3W, SSW of San Diego California · Max winds 45 mph · Pressure 995 mb · Moving NE at 9 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach the coast of the northern Baja California Peninsula and extreme Southern California at tropical storm strength Saturday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of northern Baja California, Mexico where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect. Tropical storm conditions are possible in extreme Southern California, eastern Baja California and portions of northwest Mexico where a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect.
Damaging wind gusts associated with Rachel and its remnants are expected to spread over portions of northwestern Mexico and interior portions of the Southwest United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, Saturday night and Sunday.
Rachel and its moisture will spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula through this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and for the potential for significant flash and urban flooding.
Swells partly generated by Rachel will continue to build along the coast of Southern California and northern Baja California. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, as well as moderate to isolated major coastal flooding, through early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#51TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
Center 23.3N 124.0W, W of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 45 mph · Pressure 995 mb · Moving NE at 7 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach the coast of the northern Baja California Peninsula and extreme Southern California at tropical storm strength Saturday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of western Baja California, Mexico where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect. Tropical storm conditions are possible in extreme Southern California and eastern Baja California where a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect.
Damaging wind gusts associated with Rachel and its remnants are expected to spread over portions of northwestern Mexico and interior portions of the Southwest United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, Saturday night and Sunday.
Rachel and its moisture will spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula through this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and for the potential for significant flash and urban flooding.
Swells partly generated by Rachel will continue to build along the coast of Southern California and northern Baja California. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, as well as moderate to isolated major coastal flooding, through early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#50TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND BAJA CALIFORNIA
Center 22.8N 124.6W, W of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 50 mph · Pressure 994 mb · Moving NE at 5 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach the coast of the northern Baja California Peninsula and southern California at tropical storm strength Saturday night, and a Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect from San Jose de Las Palomas, Mexico northward into southern California to the San Diego/Orange County Line.
Damaging wind gusts associated with Rachel and its remnants are expected to spread over portions of northwestern Mexico and interior portions of the Southwest United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, Saturday night and Sunday.
Rachel and the moisture associated with the system will spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula through this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and for the potential of flash and urban flooding.
Swells partly generated by Rachel will continue to build along the coast of Southern California and northern Baja California. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, as well as moderate to isolated major coastal flooding, through early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#49RACHEL WEAKENS SLIGHTLY NOW ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK
Center 22.7N 124.9W, W of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 50 mph · Pressure 994 mb · Moving NE at 3 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach the coast of northern Baja California, Mexico, and the northern Gulf of California at tropical storm strength over the weekend, and a Tropical Storm Watch could be required for a portion of this area later today.
Strong gusty winds associated with the remnants of Rachel are expected to spread over interior portions of the Southwest United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, from this weekend into early next week.
Rachel and the moisture associated with the system will spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California Peninsula through this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and the potential for flash and urban flooding.
Swells partly generated by Rachel will continue to build along the coast of Southern California and northern Baja California. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, as well as minor to moderate coastal flooding, through early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#48RACHEL EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD LATER TONIGHT
Center 22.6N 125.5W, W of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 60 mph · Pressure 990 mb · Moving WNW at 6 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach the coast of northern Baja California, Mexico, and the northern Gulf of California at tropical storm strength over the weekend, and a Tropical Storm Watch could be required for a portion of this area later tonight or tomorrow.
Strong gusty winds associated with the remnants of Rachel are expected to spread over interior portions of the Southwest United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, from this weekend into early next week.
Rachel and the moisture associated with the system will spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula through this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and potential for flash and urban flooding.
Swells partly generated by Rachel will continue to build along the coast of Southern California and northern Baja California. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, as well as minor to moderate coastal flooding, through early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#47RACHEL WEAKENS SLIGHTLY; EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND HEAD TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA ON FRIDAY
Center 22.4N 124.6W, W of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 65 mph · Pressure 987 mb · Moving WNW at 3 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach the coast of northern Baja California, Mexico, and the northern Gulf of California at tropical storm strength over the weekend, and a Tropical Storm Watch could be required for a portion of this area by tonight.
Strong gusty winds associated with the remnants of Rachel are expected to spread over interior portions of the Southwest United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, from this weekend into early next week.
Rachel and the moisture associated with the system will spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula through this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and potential for flash and urban flooding.
Swells partly generated by Rachel will continue to build along the coast of Southern California and northern Baja California. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, as well as minor to moderate coastal flooding, through early next week. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#46RACHEL HOLDS STEADY OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Center 22.1N 124.2W, W of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 70 mph · Pressure 985 mb · Moving WNW at 7 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach the coast of extreme northern Baja California, northern Gulf of California, and Southern California at tropical storm strength over the weekend, potentially bringing strong winds and coastal flooding to portions of those areas. A Tropical Storm Watch could be required for a portion of this area by tonight. Gusty winds are likely to spread over interior portions of the Southwest United States into early next week.
Moisture associated with Rachel will spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula through this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and a threat of flash and urban flooding.
Swells partly generated by Rachel will build along the coast of Southern California and northern Baja California through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#45RACHEL NOW A TROPICAL STORM
Center 21.8N 123.9W, W of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 70 mph · Pressure 985 mb · Moving WNW at 8 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach the coast of extreme northern Baja California and Southern California at or near tropical storm strength over the weekend, potentially bringing strong winds and coastal flooding to portions of those areas. Gusty winds could spread over interior portions of the Southwest United States into early next week.
Moisture associated with Rachel will spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula through this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and a threat of flash and urban flooding.
Swells partly generated by Rachel will build along the coast of Southern California and northern Baja California through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#44RACHEL WEAKENS SLIGHTLY
Center 21.4N 122.9W, W of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 75 mph · Pressure 982 mb · Moving WNW at 7 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach the coast of extreme northern Baja California and Southern California at tropical storm strength over the weekend, potentially bringing strong winds and coastal flooding to portions of those areas. Gusty winds could spread over interior portions of the Southwest United States into early next week.
Moisture associated with Rachel will spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula through this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and a threat of flash and urban flooding.
Swells partly generated by Rachel will build along the coast of Southern California and northern Baja California through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#43RACHEL MAINTAINS HURRICANE INTENSITY
Center 21.2N 122.3W, W of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 80 mph · Pressure 979 mb · Moving WNW at 7 mph
Key messages
Rachel is expected to approach the coast of extreme northern Baja California and Southern California at tropical storm strength over the weekend, potentially bringing strong winds and coastal flooding to portions of those areas. Gusty winds could spread over interior portions of the Southwest United States into early next week.
Moisture associated with Rachel will spread over portions of the Southwest United States and northern Baja California peninsula through this weekend. This will lead to increasing coverage of rainfall and a threat of flash and urban flooding.
Swells partly generated by Rachel will build along the coast of Southern California and northern Baja California through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
#42RACHEL MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Center 20.9N 121.8W, W of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 80 mph · Pressure 979 mb · Moving WNW at 7 mph
#41RACHEL HOLDS STEADY AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD
Center 20.6N 121.2W, W of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 80 mph · Pressure 979 mb · Moving WNW at 7 mph
#40RACHEL HOLDING STEADY OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
Center 20.4N 120.4W, WSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 80 mph · Pressure 979 mb · Moving WNW at 6 mph
#39RACHEL SLIGHTLY WEAKER
Center 20.5N 120.1W, WSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 80 mph · Pressure 979 mb · Moving W at 7 mph
#38RACHEL CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD
Center 20.5N 119.5W, WSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 85 mph · Pressure 977 mb · Moving W at 8 mph
#37RACHEL WEAKENS SLIGHTLY WHILE CONTINUING WESTWARD
Center 20.3N 118.6W, WSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 85 mph · Pressure 976 mb · Moving W at 8 mph
#36RACHEL MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Center 20.4N 117.9W, WSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 90 mph · Pressure 973 mb · Moving W at 9 mph
#35RACHEL SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED
Center 20.3N 117.1W, WSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 90 mph · Pressure 973 mb · Moving W at 8 mph
#34RACHEL SLIGHTLY WEAKENS AND CONTINUES WESTWARD
Center 20.4N 116.2W, WSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 85 mph · Pressure 976 mb · Moving W at 7 mph
#33RACHEL A LITTLE WEAKER AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD
Center 20.4N 115.6W, WSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 90 mph · Pressure 970 mb · Moving W at 8 mph
#32RACHEL CONTINUES TO MOVE OVER THE OPEN EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Center 20.2N 114.8W, WSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 100 mph · Pressure 967 mb · Moving WNW at 7 mph
#31RACHEL MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH
Center 20.1N 114.3W, SW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 105 mph · Pressure 965 mb · Moving W at 6 mph
#30RACHEL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE
Center 20.2N 113.8W, SW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 105 mph · Pressure 965 mb · Moving WNW at 6 mph
#29RACHEL STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
Center 20.2N 113.2W, SW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 100 mph · Pressure 968 mb · Moving WNW at 5 mph
#28RACHEL STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
Center 20.0N 112.8W, SW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 90 mph · Pressure 970 mb · Moving WNW at 5 mph
#27RACHEL CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWEST
Center 19.8N 112.5W, SW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 80 mph · Pressure 977 mb · Moving WNW at 5 mph
#26RACHEL MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
Center 19.6N 112.1W, SSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 85 mph · Pressure 973 mb · Moving WNW at 3 mph
#25RACHEL WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD
Center 19.4N 111.8W, SSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 90 mph · Pressure 969 mb · Moving W at 5 mph
#24RACHEL CONTINUES WESTWARD AS IT PASSES SOCORRO ISLAND; SOME WEAKENING EXPECTED OVER NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
Center 19.4N 111.5W, SSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 100 mph · Pressure 966 mb · Moving W at 5 mph
#23RACHEL CONTINUES LASHING SOCORRO ISLAND AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD
Center 19.3N 111.1W, SSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 105 mph · Pressure 963 mb · Moving W at 5 mph
#22RACHEL PASSING JUST NORTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND
Center 19.3N 110.8W, SSW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 110 mph · Pressure 959 mb · Moving W at 6 mph
#21RACHEL WEAKENS SLIGTHLY AS IT TURNS WESTWARD
Center 19.4N 110.4W, S of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 115 mph · Pressure 955 mb · Moving W at 5 mph
#20RACHEL HOLDING STEADY
Center 19.5N 109.9W, S of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 120 mph · Pressure 950 mb · Moving WNW at 3 mph
#19RACHEL STRENGTHENS WHILE SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD
Center 19.4N 109.5W, S of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 120 mph · Pressure 950 mb · Moving W at 3 mph
#18RACHEL STRENGTHENS
Center 19.6N 109.6W, S of The Southern Tip Of Baja California · Max winds 105 mph · Pressure 964 mb · Moving WNW at 6 mph
#17RACHEL STRENGTHENING AS IT CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
Center 19.4N 109.3W, WSW of Cabo Corrientes Mexico · Max winds 100 mph · Pressure 972 mb · Moving WNW at 6 mph
#16RACHEL GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING AS IT CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD
Center 19.2N 108.5W, WSW of Cabo Corrientes Mexico · Max winds 90 mph · Pressure 975 mb · Moving NW at 7 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, wind gusts of tropical-storm force are possible along portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico through tonight.
Outer bands from Rachel will continue to produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of coastal southwest Mexico. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico and the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next several days.
#15RACHEL CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD; NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATES THE STORM IS GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED
Center 18.8N 108.0W, SW of Cabo Corrientes Mexico · Max winds 85 mph · Pressure 978 mb · Moving NW at 8 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, wind gusts of tropical-storm force are possible along portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico through tonight.
Outer bands from Rachel will continue to produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of coastal southwest Mexico. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico and the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next several days.
#14RACHEL CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD; WARNINGS AND WATCHES DISCONTINUED FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO
Center 18.1N 108.0W, W of Lazaro Cardenas Mexico · Max winds 85 mph · Pressure 978 mb · Moving NW at 9 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico and the coastal watches and warnings have been discontinued, wind gust of tropical-storm force are possible along portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico through tonight.
Outer bands from Rachel will bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of coastal southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico and the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next several days.
#13RACHEL IS STRENGTHENING; COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN A DAY OR SO
Center 17.6N 107.2W, W of Lazaro Cardenas Mexico · Max winds 85 mph · Pressure 979 mb · Moving NW at 10 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, tropical-storm-force winds are expected along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the warning area this morning.
Outer bands from Rachel will bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of coastal southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico and the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next several days.
#12RACHEL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOON; TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO
Center 17.0N 106.6W, WSW of Lazaro Cardenas Mexico · Max winds 70 mph · Pressure 989 mb · Moving NW at 13 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, tropical-storm-force winds are expected along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the warning area tonight.
Outer bands from Rachel will bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of coastal southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico and the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next several days.
#11RACHEL NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH; NOW FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE
Center 16.0N 105.7W, WSW of Lazaro Cardenas Mexico · Max winds 70 mph · Pressure 989 mb · Moving NW at 12 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, tropical-storm-force winds are expected along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the Tropical Storm Warning area today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area tonight or on Wednesday.
Outer bands from Rachel will bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of coastal southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days.
#10RACHEL SLIGHTLY STRONGER
Center 15.3N 105.0W, SW of Lazaro Cardenas Mexico · Max winds 65 mph · Pressure 987 mb · Moving WNW at 13 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, tropical-storm-force winds are expected along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the Tropical Storm Warning area today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area tonight or on Wednesday.
Outer bands from Rachel will bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of coastal southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce areas of flooding and mudslides, especially in regions of steep terrain.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days.
#9RACHEL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO
Center 14.7N 104.3W, SSW of Lazaro Cardenas Mexico · Max winds 60 mph · Pressure 992 mb · Moving WNW at 12 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, tropical-storm-force winds are expected along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the Tropical Storm Warning area today. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area tonight or on Wednesday.
Outer bands from Rachel will bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of coastal southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce areas of flooding and mudslides, especially in regions of steep terrain.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days.
#8RACHEL MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
Center 14.5N 102.9W, SW of Acapulco Mexico · Max winds 60 mph · Pressure 997 mb · Moving WNW at 10 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, tropical-storm-force winds are expected along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the Tropical Storm Warning area on Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area Tuesday night or on Wednesday.
Outer bands from Rachel will bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of coastal southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce areas of flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days.
#7RACHEL MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO
Center 14.2N 102.1W, SW of Acapulco Mexico · Max winds 50 mph · Pressure 999 mb · Moving WNW at 10 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, tropical storm force winds are expected along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the Tropical Storm Warning area on Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the Tropical Storm Watch area Tuesday night or on Wednesday.
Outer bands from Rachel will bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of coastal southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce areas of flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days.
#6RACHEL A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD; TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
Center 13.8N 101.2W, SSW of Acapulco Mexico · Max winds 50 mph · Pressure 999 mb · Moving WNW at 8 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, tropical storm force winds are expected along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the Tropical Storm Warning area on Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the Tropical Storm Watch area Tuesday night or on Wednesday.
Outer bands from Rachel will bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of coastal southwest Mexico through Thursday. This rainfall may produce areas of flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days.
#5RACHEL MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
Center 13.4N 100.4W, S of Acapulco Mexico · Max winds 45 mph · Pressure 1001 mb · Moving WNW at 8 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, tropical storm force winds are possible along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the Tropical Storm Watch area on Tuesday.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days.
#4TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
Center 12.9N 99.8W, S of Acapulco Mexico · Max winds 40 mph · Pressure 1003 mb · Moving W at 7 mph
Key messages
Although the core of Rachel is forecast to remain offshore of Mexico, tropical storm force winds are possible along a portion of the coast of southwestern Mexico in the Tropical Storm Watch area on Tuesday.
Large waves could produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days.
#3DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM
Center 12.6N 99.1W, S of Acapulco Mexico · Max winds 40 mph · Pressure 1005 mb · Moving WNW at 5 mph
#2TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN WHILE IT REMAINS OFFSHORE THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO
Center 12.7N 98.6W, SSE of Acapulco Mexico · Max winds 35 mph · Pressure 1006 mb · Moving WNW at 5 mph
#1TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORMS SOUTH OF MEXICO
Center 12.2N 99.1W, S of Acapulco Mexico · Max winds 35 mph · Pressure 1008 mb · Moving WNW at 10 mph
Rachel peaked at 105 knots (121 mph) — Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, with a minimum central pressure of 950 mb.
When was Hurricane Rachel active?
Rachel was a tracked system from 2026-09-27 to 2026-10-11 in the East Pacific basin.
Did Rachel make landfall?
Yes. Based on its track, Rachel's center crossed the coast near 31.4°N 116.5°W (SSE of San Diego California) on October 11, 2026 around 05:47 UTC with maximum sustained winds near 50 kt (58 mph, tropical storm). NHC did not issue a formal landfall statement; this is StormTracking's estimate.