Tropical Weather Outlook: 2 areas being monitored, up to 90% development odds

en Español 000 ABNT20 KNHC 120532 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Eastern Tropical Atlantic: An elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms extending from these islands southwestward into the eastern tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear, at best, marginally conducive for any development of this system during the next day or two before upper-level winds become too strong for any further development. Regardless, heavy rainfall is expected over the couple of days for portions of the Cabo Verde Islands as the system moves slowly northward to north-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

en Español 000 ABPZ20 KNHC 120531 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Oct 11 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Simon, located near the coast of southwestern Mexico. South of Southern Mexico (EP93): A broad area of low pressure has formed several hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala, accompanied by some shower and thunderstorm activity. This system has become better defined since yesterday, and environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development. A tropical depression is expected to form well south of southern Mexico in a few days while the system moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Katz/Blake