Severe weather outlook: no organized severe threat

SPC AC 131614 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1014 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026 Valid 131630Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. today or tonight. ...Southeast AZ... A strong shortwave trough is rotating across northwest Mexico. This feature will affect southern AZ, providing increasing large scale ascent and steep lapse rates through the afternoon and evening. Visible satellite imagery suggests rather widespread cloud cover will affect much of southern AZ, and low-level moisture is limited. These factors should keep MLCAPE values below 500 J/kg. Winds aloft are also relatively weak. While organized severe storms appear unlikely today, scattered showers and thunderstorms will track across the region, with some concern for a few strong wind gusts in the more intense cells. ...Northern CA... A strong cold front has moved inland across northern CA, with intense low and mid level wind fields accompanying the front. No lightning has been observed with the line thus far, and thermodynamic profiles remain quite weak. Nevertheless, strong wind gusts may accompany the shallow convective line, and even an orographically-induced brief tornado is possible - mainly through mid afternoon. ..Hart/Halbert-E.. 11/13/2026 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z