Live tracking · Severe weather outlook · Nov 13, 2026 at 00:37 UTC
Severe weather outlook: no organized severe threat
SPC Day 1 outlook issued Nov 13, 2026 at 00:37 UTC · forecaster Leitman
StormTracking analysis
Severe weather outlook: no organized severe threat.
- DE: risk lowered Slight risk (2/5) → none
- NJ: risk lowered Slight risk (2/5) → none
- NY: risk lowered Marginal risk (1/5) → none
- PA: risk lowered Slight risk (2/5) → none
Day 1 — General thunderstorms
Official SPC discussion
SPC AC 130037
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0637 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026
Valid 130100Z - 131200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected the remainder of tonight into
early Friday.
...01z Update...
Severe probabilities have been removed from the Mid-Atlantic as
earlier strong/severe convection has weakened and moved offshore.
Severe thunderstorms are not expected the remainder of tonight.
Isolated thunderstorms may occur late tonight/early Friday morning
near the southern CA coast as an upper shortwave trough shifts east
across the area. Generally modest low to mid-level flow and weak
instability will preclude severe thunderstorm potential with this
activity.
..Leitman.. 11/13/2026
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Source: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center (public domain). State breakdown & analysis © StormTracking.