Severe weather outlook: no organized severe threat

SPC AC 101236 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026 Valid 101300Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Elevated thunderstorms may persist for much of the period across coastal TX/LA as a weak mid-level shortwave trough evolves eastward across the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley. With MUCAPE forecast to generally remain less than 1000 J/kg amid modest lapse rates aloft, any hail with stronger cells that develop over land should remain sub-severe. Occasional lightning flashes may also occur with low-topped convection that will move quickly east-northeastward across parts of coastal WA today in tandem with another mid-level shortwave trough, but very weak instability will limit the severe threat with this activity. ..Gleason/Wendt.. 11/10/2026 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z