Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 10% development odds
Issued Nov 9, 2026 at 17:05 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 31 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.9 by this date.
- Odds lowered for 1. Eastern East Pacific (EP96) (Eastern Pacific): 20% → 10%
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Eastern East Pacific (EP96) 48h 10% 7-day 10%
1. Eastern East Pacific (EP96): Shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished near the small area of low pressure located several hundred miles offshore of El Salvador and Nicaragua. Environmental conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for development over the next several days as the system drifts westward or west-southwestward away from land, and the chances of it becoming a short-lived tropical cyclone are decreasing. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 091705
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
973
ABPZ20 KNHC 091133
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 AM PST Mon Nov 9 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Pena, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Big
Island of Hawaii.
Eastern East Pacific (EP96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished near the small area
of low pressure located several hundred miles offshore of El
Salvador and Nicaragua. Environmental conditions are expected to
remain unfavorable for development over the next several days as the
system drifts westward or west-southwestward away from land, and the
chances of it becoming a short-lived tropical cyclone are
decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Mahoney
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Nov 9, 2026 at 23:12 UTC
0 areas
Nov 9, 2026 at 17:05 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤10%
Nov 9, 2026 at 11:18 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 9, 2026 at 05:28 UTC
1 area · ≤30%
Nov 8, 2026 at 23:17 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 17:14 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 11:18 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 05:16 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 7, 2026 at 23:20 UTC
2 areas · ≤20%
Nov 7, 2026 at 17:25 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 7, 2026 at 11:36 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 7, 2026 at 05:26 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%