Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 30% development odds
Issued Nov 9, 2026 at 05:28 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 31 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.9 by this date.
- Odds raised for 1. Eastern East Pacific (EP96) (Eastern Pacific): 20% → 30%
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Eastern East Pacific (EP96) 48h 30% 7-day 30%
1. Eastern East Pacific (EP96): An area of low pressure located just offshore of Nicaragua has been producing increasingly organized shower and thunderstorm activity over the past several hours. Some additional development of this system is possible through early Monday while it drifts slowly northwestward. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development as the system turns westward away from land. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring periods of heavy rain to portions of Central America through tonight. Formation chance thr
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 082317
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 090528
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 8 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Pena, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Big
Island of Hawaii.
Eastern East Pacific (EP96):
Recent satellite wind data indicates that a small area of low
pressure located more than one hundred miles offshore of Nicaragua
and El Salvador has a well-defined circulation and is producing
winds of 30-35 mph near its center. However, the associated shower
and thunderstorm activity has become less organized near its center.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become less favorable for
additional development over the next several days as the system
moves westward or west-southwestward away from land, and the chances
of it becoming a short-lived tropical cyclone are decreasing.
Regardless, this system is expected to bring periods of heavy rain
to portions of Central America over the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Nov 9, 2026 at 23:12 UTC
0 areas
Nov 9, 2026 at 17:05 UTC
1 area · ≤10%
Nov 9, 2026 at 11:18 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 9, 2026 at 05:28 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤30%
Nov 8, 2026 at 23:17 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 17:14 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 11:18 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 05:16 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 7, 2026 at 23:20 UTC
2 areas · ≤20%
Nov 7, 2026 at 17:25 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 7, 2026 at 11:36 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 7, 2026 at 05:26 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%