Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 20% development odds
Issued Nov 8, 2026 at 11:18 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 31 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.8 by this date.
No changes in tracked areas since the previous issuance.
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Eastern East Pacific 48h 20% 7-day 20%
1. Eastern East Pacific: An area of low pressure located just offshore of Costa Rica and Nicaragua continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Some development of this system is possible over the next day or so while the system drifts slowly northwestward. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for additional development as the system turns westward away from land. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring areas of heavy rain to portions of Central America over the remainder of this weekend. Formation chance through 48
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
704
ABNT20 KNHC 081118
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
977
ABPZ20 KNHC 080541
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sat Nov 7 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Pena, located several hundred miles south-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii.
Eastern East Pacific:
An area of low pressure located just offshore of Costa Rica and
Nicaragua continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. Some development of this system is possible over the next
day or so while the system drifts slowly northwestward. Thereafter,
environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for
additional development as the system turns westward away from land.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring areas of
heavy rain to portions of Central America over the remainder of this
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Nov 9, 2026 at 23:12 UTC
0 areas
Nov 9, 2026 at 17:05 UTC
1 area · ≤10%
Nov 9, 2026 at 11:18 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 9, 2026 at 05:28 UTC
1 area · ≤30%
Nov 8, 2026 at 23:17 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 17:14 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 11:18 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 05:16 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 7, 2026 at 23:20 UTC
2 areas · ≤20%
Nov 7, 2026 at 17:25 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 7, 2026 at 11:36 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 7, 2026 at 05:26 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%