Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 20% development odds
Issued Nov 8, 2026 at 05:16 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 31 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.8 by this date.
- No longer tracked: 1. Western and Central Atlantic (AL94) (Atlantic)
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Eastern East Pacific 48h 20% 7-day 20%
1. Eastern East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development is possible over the next day or so while the system drifts northward. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring areas of heavy rain to portions of Central America this weekend. Thereafter, unfavorable environmental conditions should end formation chances early next week as the system turns westward and moves away from land. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 080516
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 072320
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 PM PST Sat Nov 7 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Pena, located several hundred miles south-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii.
Eastern East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some development is possible over the next day or so
while the system drifts northward. Regardless of development, this
system is expected to bring areas of heavy rain to portions of
Central America this weekend. Thereafter, unfavorable environmental
conditions should end formation chances early next week as the
system turns westward and moves away from land.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
$$
Forecaster Adams
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Nov 9, 2026 at 23:12 UTC
0 areas
Nov 9, 2026 at 17:05 UTC
1 area · ≤10%
Nov 9, 2026 at 11:18 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 9, 2026 at 05:28 UTC
1 area · ≤30%
Nov 8, 2026 at 23:17 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 17:14 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 11:18 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 8, 2026 at 05:16 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤20%
Nov 7, 2026 at 23:20 UTC
2 areas · ≤20%
Nov 7, 2026 at 17:25 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 7, 2026 at 11:36 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Nov 7, 2026 at 05:26 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%