Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 30% development odds
Issued Oct 25, 2026 at 05:28 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
Storms in this outlook:
Hurricane Vance — track & advisories →
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 29 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 34.2 by this date.
No changes in tracked areas since the previous issuance.
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Western Central Pacific 48h 20% 7-day 30%
1. Western Central Pacific: Showers and thunderstorms are a little better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located just west of the International Date Line, several hundred miles west of Johnston Atoll. Some development of this system is possible over the next few days while it moves east-northeastward at 10 to 15 mph. By the middle of next week, however, strong upper-level winds should limit any additional development. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 250528
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 25 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 242322
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Oct 24 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Vance, located a few hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.
Western Central Pacific:
Showers and thunderstorms are a little better organized in
association with a broad area of low pressure located just west of
the International Date Line, several hundred miles west of Johnston
Atoll. Some development of this system is possible over the next few
days while it moves east-northeastward at 10 to 15 mph. By the
middle of next week, however, strong upper-level winds should limit
any additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Oct 25, 2026 at 05:28 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤30%
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