Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 20% development odds
Issued Oct 24, 2026 at 11:25 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
Storms in this outlook:
Hurricane Vance — track & advisories →
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 29 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 33.9 by this date.
No changes in tracked areas since the previous issuance.
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Western Central Pacific 48h 10% 7-day 20%
1. Western Central Pacific: A broad area of low pressure located near or just west of the International Date Line, several hundred miles west of Johnston Atoll, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could support some slow development while the system moves generally eastward to east-northeastward. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 241125
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 24 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241125
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Oct 24 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Vance, located several hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco,
Mexico.
Western Central Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure located near or just west of the
International Date Line, several hundred miles west of Johnston
Atoll, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions could support some slow development while
the system moves generally eastward to east-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Oct 24, 2026 at 11:25 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤20%
Oct 24, 2026 at 05:25 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Oct 23, 2026 at 23:01 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Oct 23, 2026 at 17:14 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Oct 23, 2026 at 11:16 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Oct 23, 2026 at 05:16 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Oct 22, 2026 at 23:15 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Oct 22, 2026 at 17:28 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Oct 22, 2026 at 11:36 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Oct 22, 2026 at 05:11 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Oct 21, 2026 at 23:19 UTC
2 areas · ≤30%
Oct 21, 2026 at 19:37 UTC
3 areas · ≤70%