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Live tracking · Tropical Weather Outlook · Nov 2, 2026 at 05:06 UTC

Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 60% development odds

Issued Nov 2, 2026 at 05:06 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours

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StormTracking analysis

The 2026 season has produced 30 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.3 by this date.

Development areas (1)

Eastern Pacific 1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands 48h 10% 7-day 60%

1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands remain disorganized. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter portions of this week as it moves westward to west-northwestward over the Central Pacific basin. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Official NHC text — Atlantic

en Español 000 ABNT20 KNHC 020506 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Gibbs

Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.

Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific

en Español 000 ABPZ20 KNHC 020501 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 PM PST Sun Nov 1 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands remain disorganized. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter portions of this week as it moves westward to west-northwestward over the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Gibbs

Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.

Recent issuances

Nov 2, 2026 at 05:06 UTC — viewing 1 area · ≤60% Nov 1, 2026 at 23:11 UTC 1 area · ≤50% Nov 1, 2026 at 17:05 UTC 1 area · ≤50% Nov 1, 2026 at 11:18 UTC 1 area · ≤40% Nov 1, 2026 at 05:00 UTC 1 area · ≤40% Nov 1, 2026 at 04:55 UTC 1 area · ≤40% Oct 31, 2026 at 23:18 UTC 1 area · ≤40% Oct 31, 2026 at 22:54 UTC 1 area · ≤40% Oct 31, 2026 at 17:17 UTC 1 area · ≤40% Oct 31, 2026 at 11:26 UTC 1 area · ≤40% Oct 31, 2026 at 05:07 UTC 1 area · ≤40% Oct 30, 2026 at 23:08 UTC 1 area · ≤40%