Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 60% development odds
Issued Nov 2, 2026 at 05:06 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 30 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35.3 by this date.
- Odds raised for 1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (Eastern Pacific): 50% → 60%
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands 48h 10% 7-day 60%
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands remain disorganized. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter portions of this week as it moves westward to west-northwestward over the Central Pacific basin. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 020506
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 020501
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 1 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands remain
disorganized. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable
for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form during the middle to latter portions of this week as it
moves westward to west-northwestward over the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Nov 2, 2026 at 05:06 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤60%
Nov 1, 2026 at 23:11 UTC
1 area · ≤50%
Nov 1, 2026 at 17:05 UTC
1 area · ≤50%
Nov 1, 2026 at 11:18 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Nov 1, 2026 at 05:00 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Nov 1, 2026 at 04:55 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 23:18 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 22:54 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 17:17 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 11:26 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 05:07 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 30, 2026 at 23:08 UTC
1 area · ≤40%