Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 40% development odds
Issued Nov 1, 2026 at 11:18 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 30 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35 by this date.
No changes in tracked areas since the previous issuance.
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands 48h 0% 7-day 40%
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop well to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands by early next week. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the end of next week as it moves westward to west-northwestward over the Central Pacific basin. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 011118
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011118
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 AM PST Sun Nov 1 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop well to the
southeast of the Hawaiian Islands in a couple of days. Thereafter,
environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by
the middle to end of the week as it moves westward to
west-northwestward over the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Nov 1, 2026 at 11:18 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤40%
Nov 1, 2026 at 05:00 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Nov 1, 2026 at 04:55 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 23:18 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 22:54 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 17:17 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 11:26 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 05:07 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 30, 2026 at 23:08 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 30, 2026 at 17:11 UTC
1 area · ≤30%
Oct 30, 2026 at 11:18 UTC
1 area · ≤30%
Oct 30, 2026 at 05:06 UTC
1 area · ≤30%