Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 50% development odds
Issued Nov 1, 2026 at 17:05 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 30 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 35 by this date.
- Odds raised for 1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (Eastern Pacific): 40% → 50%
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands 48h 0% 7-day 50%
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop well to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands in a couple of days. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to end of the week as it moves westward to west-northwestward over the Central Pacific basin. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 011705
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011703
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 AM PST Sun Nov 1 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop well to the
southeast of the Hawaiian Islands in a couple of days. Thereafter,
environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by
the middle to end of the week as it moves westward to
west-northwestward over the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Nov 1, 2026 at 17:05 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤50%
Nov 1, 2026 at 11:18 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Nov 1, 2026 at 05:00 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Nov 1, 2026 at 04:55 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 23:18 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 22:54 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 17:17 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 11:26 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 31, 2026 at 05:07 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 30, 2026 at 23:08 UTC
1 area · ≤40%
Oct 30, 2026 at 17:11 UTC
1 area · ≤30%
Oct 30, 2026 at 11:18 UTC
1 area · ≤30%