Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 30% development odds
Issued Oct 30, 2026 at 05:06 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
Storms in this outlook:
Hurricane Vance — track & advisories →
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 30 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 34.8 by this date.
No changes in tracked areas since the previous issuance.
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands 48h 0% 7-day 30%
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop well to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands this weekend or early next week. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of this system as it moves westward to west-northwestward into the Central Pacific basin. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 300506
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 292307
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Oct 29 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Depression Vance, located about one hundred
miles southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California
Peninsula.
Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop well to the
southeast of the Hawaiian Islands this weekend or early next week.
Thereafter, environmental conditions appear generally favorable for
some slow development of this system as it moves westward to
west-northwestward into the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Evans/Papin
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Oct 30, 2026 at 05:06 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤30%
Oct 29, 2026 at 23:07 UTC
1 area · ≤30%
Oct 29, 2026 at 17:08 UTC
1 area · ≤30%
Oct 29, 2026 at 11:14 UTC
1 area · ≤30%
Oct 29, 2026 at 05:15 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Oct 28, 2026 at 23:16 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Oct 28, 2026 at 17:10 UTC
0 areas
Oct 28, 2026 at 11:05 UTC
0 areas
Oct 28, 2026 at 05:05 UTC
0 areas
Oct 27, 2026 at 23:06 UTC
0 areas
Oct 27, 2026 at 17:12 UTC
0 areas
Oct 27, 2026 at 11:22 UTC
0 areas