Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 20% development odds
Issued Oct 28, 2026 at 23:16 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
Storms in this outlook:
Hurricane Vance — track & advisories →
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 30 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 34.6 by this date.
- New area in the Eastern Pacific: 1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands — 20% 7-day odds
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands 48h 0% 7-day 20%
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: A broad area of low pressure could develop well to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands by this weekend or early next week. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of this system as it moves westward to west-northwestward into the Central Pacific basin. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 282315
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Katz/Papin
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282316
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Oct 28 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Depression Vance, located a couple hundred miles
west of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico.
Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A broad area of low pressure could develop well to the southeast of
the Hawaiian Islands by this weekend or early next week. Thereafter,
environmental conditions appear generally favorable for some slow
development of this system as it moves westward to
west-northwestward into the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
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1 area · ≤20%
Oct 28, 2026 at 23:16 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤20%
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