Tropical Weather Outlook: 1 area being monitored, up to 30% development odds
Issued Oct 29, 2026 at 11:14 UTC by the National Hurricane Center · new outlooks every 6 hours
StormTracking analysis
The 2026 season has produced 30 storms so far — behind the 2015–2025 average of 34.6 by this date.
- Odds raised for 1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (Eastern Pacific): 20% → 30%
Development areas (1)
Eastern Pacific
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands 48h 0% 7-day 30%
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: A broad area of low pressure could develop well to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands by this weekend or early next week. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of this system as it moves westward to west-northwestward into the Central Pacific basin. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Official NHC text — Atlantic
en Español
000
ABNT20 KNHC 291114
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Official NHC text — Eastern Pacific
en Español
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 290515
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Oct 28 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Vance, located about a couple hundred miles
west-northwest of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico.
Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A broad area of low pressure could develop well to the southeast of
the Hawaiian Islands by this weekend or early next week. Thereafter,
environmental conditions appear generally favorable for some slow
development of this system as it moves westward to
west-northwestward into the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Source: NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center (public domain). Analysis above is StormTracking's own.
Recent issuances
Oct 29, 2026 at 11:14 UTC — viewing
1 area · ≤30%
Oct 29, 2026 at 05:15 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Oct 28, 2026 at 23:16 UTC
1 area · ≤20%
Oct 28, 2026 at 17:10 UTC
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Oct 28, 2026 at 11:05 UTC
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Oct 28, 2026 at 05:05 UTC
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Oct 27, 2026 at 23:06 UTC
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Oct 27, 2026 at 17:12 UTC
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Oct 27, 2026 at 11:22 UTC
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Oct 27, 2026 at 05:12 UTC
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Oct 26, 2026 at 23:25 UTC
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Oct 26, 2026 at 17:10 UTC
0 areas